by Dr. Badra Gaaloul, President of the International Center for Security and Military Strategic Studies 27-04-2024
Introduction
The world today teeters on the edge of a pit of explosion and conflict in a deadly and devastating war for humanity, a third world war on the horizon that will alter the face of the entire world… For the world today no longer tolerates the status quo, as everything has reached its peak and begun to slide into decline.
The table of the world no longer accommodates certain parties, and the head of the table is losing its influence and power, giving rise to emerging new poles and regional and international alliances that will change the course of the entire world.
Even the shape of the world table is beginning to change to become circular, with no head, allowing for the proliferation of poles and powers… This paper sheds light on the most important international conflicts poised to emerge as major flashpoints in 2024 and as precursors to a devastating war for humanity…
Today, those ruling the world are not humans but rather demons and criminals plotting to kill and annihilate the largest possible number of humanity, speaking of the golden billion that will rule the world…
1. The Middle East on the Verge of Abyss
The war in Gaza will escalate with several escalatory paths to a regional war, possibly dragging America and Iran directly into the conflict. The conflict will pose risks to the global economy, widen geopolitical and political divisions, and inflame global “extremism”. The shortest path to escalation is Israel or Hezbollah’s decision to attack the other party.
The Houthi militants may also take an escalatory path, and Shiite militias in Iraq and Syria may increase their attacks on US bases with Tehran’s blessing.
No state involved in the Gaza conflict wants a regional conflict to erupt, but the powder keg is ready, and the number capable of detonating it makes the danger high, especially since the Zionist entity, after 200 days of aggression, began to taste the bitterness of defeat, and thus, to get out of the impasse, fronts will open from the north to Rafah and escalation with Iran.
2. Venezuela and Guyana: Oil Conflict
Tensions between Venezuela and Guyana are escalating over the oil-rich Essequibo region, with each claiming sovereignty over it. This has led to threats from Venezuela of military operations in the region, and Guyana responded by conducting air exercises with the United States, which is working to ignite war to undermine the security and stability of the American “enemy”.
3. Ireland and Submarine Cables
Russia’s naval maneuvers in Irish waters raise concerns about the potential vulnerability of sensitive submarine cables. These concerns could lead to an international security crisis if Russia decides to target these cables.
4. Expansion of Conflict in Myanmar: A Threat to Regional Stability
Fighting in Myanmar is spreading to new areas, threatening to cause a humanitarian and security crisis at the regional level. This could lead to heightened tensions between Myanmar and its neighbors, including China and India.
5. Russian Navy in Abkhazia: A Threat to Georgia and Europe
The Kremlin is seeking to enhance its military presence in Abkhazia, threatening to destabilize Georgia and the Black Sea region. This could lead to direct conflict between Russia and NATO.
6. Taliban Threat to Pakistan: Potential Civil War
Pakistan faces escalating conflict with the Pakistani Taliban, which seeks to take control of the country. This could lead to a civil war in Pakistan, threatening to destabilize the region.
7. NATO-Russia Confrontation
Competition between NATO and Russia is escalating in the Arctic, with each seeking control over natural resources and trade routes in the region. This could lead to direct conflict between NATO and Russia.
8. Coup in Cameroon, Civil War on the Horizon and Major Unrest in West Africa
Armed conflict continues in Cameroon, threatening to worsen the security crisis in the region. This could lead to a new coup in Cameroon.
The wave of terrorism and ISIS militants, who consider Americans and the West a target in Africa because they are now being expelled from West Africa under great popular pressure, most recently during the dialogue between Washington and Niger to withdraw American troops from Niger and this is what Washington will agree to, but it will not leave the arena and will move its most important card, terrorism… Thus, the West and Central African region will witness waves of terrorism operations, including the entire region igniting and having ramifications for large parts of the African continent, and the spark will reach North Africa and from there there is a high possibility of unrest in Libya and Chad, and the significant decline will continue in Sudan.
9. South China Sea War between Washington and Beijing
Former advisor to US President Barack Obama outlined a possible war scenario with China. If it breaks out today, the United States will suffer relatively minor losses. However, if the war breaks out after 10 years, Washington will pay a heavy price.
According to the report prepared by the American research and development institution “Rand” with the participation of David Gompert, Obama’s intelligence advisor, at the request of the US Department of Defense, the likelihood of a military confrontation between the United States and China is increasing day by day. The blame is placed on Beijing, which flexes its muscles in the South China Sea.
Perhaps the question of the likelihood of China starting a war is the most important in international affairs today, and if Beijing attacks Taiwan or any other target in the Western Pacific, the result will be a war with the United States, between two nuclear-armed giants vying for dominance.
If this war is added to the ongoing wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, the world will burn in the flames of a global conflict unparalleled since World War II.
All secret intelligence reports confirm that the signs of danger of a Chinese war are still present, despite the recent wave of diplomacy between Washington and Beijing.
Among the most important signs of the outbreak of war between China and America are China’s display of ships, aircraft, and missiles in the largest military buildup in decades, and its stockpiling of fuel and food, and its attempts to limit its economy’s exposure to sanctions, at a time when Chinese President Xi Jinping says his country must prepare for “the worst scenarios and the most extreme, and be prepared to endure strong winds, turbulent waters, and even dangerous storms.”
American experts warned that Beijing has become more dominant and violent at times in dealing with its neighbors like the Philippines, Japan, and India, with periodic statements of its ability to strike Taiwan and besiege it, and perhaps invade it, which has led many American officials to believe that the danger of war is increasing, and CIA Director William Burns said that the Chinese president seeks to have the ability to occupy Taiwan by 2027.